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《SSRN，2月20日，How A Massive Contagious Infectious Diseases Can Affect Tourism, International Trade, Air Transportation, and Electricity Consumption? The Case of 2019 Novel Coronavirus》

  • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者： zhangmin
  • 发布时间：2020-02-21

  • How A Massive Contagious Infectious Diseases Can Affect Tourism, International Trade, Air Transportation, and Electricity Consumption? The Case of 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China

    14 Pages Posted: 20 Feb 2020

    Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada

    University of Malaya (UM) - Faculty of Economics & Administration (FEA)

    Donghyun Park

    Asian Development Bank - Economic Research

    Minsoo Lee

    Asian Development Bank

    Date Written: February 19, 2020

    Abstract

    This paper is interested to evaluate the final impact of the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) on four economic strategic sectors such as the tourism, air transportation, international trade, and electricity consumption of China into a multidimensional graph simultaneously. Hence, this research paper proposes the application of the economic crisis from a massive contagious infection diseases simulator (ECMCID-Simulator) respectively. In addition, the ECMCID-Simulator tries to show a macro-dynamic analysis with different possible scenarios to evaluate how a massive contagious infection disease can affect dramatically on the economic performance of any country in the short run. Finally, the ECMCID-Simulator was applied to the case of 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China.

  • 原文来源：https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3540667
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