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《SSRN，3月9日，The Evaluation of the Final Impact of Wuhan COVID-19 on Trade, Tourism, Transport, and Electricity Consumption of China》

  • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者： xuwenwhlib
  • 发布时间：2020-03-10

  • The Evaluation of the Final Impact of Wuhan COVID-19 on Trade, Tourism, Transport, and Electricity Consumption of China

    13 Pages Posted: 9 Mar 2020

    Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada

    Center of Latin American Studies (CLAS) - University of Malaya

    Donghyun Park

    Asian Development Bank - Economic Research

    Minsoo Lee

    Asian Development Bank

    Date Written: March 9, 2020

    Abstract

    In this paper, we evaluate the impact of Wuhan COVID-19 (Coronavirus Disease 2019) on four strategic sectors - i.e. tourism, air transportation, international trade, and electricity consumption of the Chinese economy. To do so, we develop and apply a new model - the economic crisis from massive contagious infection diseases simulator (ECMCID-Simulator). The simulator deploys a macro-dynamic analysis under different possible scenarios to evaluate the impact of a massive contagious infection disease on the short-run economic performance of a country.

    Keywords: economic simulation, contagious disease, China, trade, tourism, air transportation, electricity consumption

    *注，本文为预印本论文手稿，是未经同行评审的初步报告，其观点仅供科研同行交流，并不是结论性内容，请使用者谨慎使用.

  • 原文来源：https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3551093
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