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《MedRixv，2月29日，Modeling the Epidemic Dynamics and Control of COVID-19 Outbreak in China》

  • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者： zhangmin
  • 发布时间：2020-03-01

  • Modeling the Epidemic Dynamics and Control of COVID-19 Outbreak in China

    Shilei Zhao, Hua Chen

    doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.27.20028639

    Abstract

    The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is rapidly spreading over China and more than 30 countries in last two months. COVID-19 has multiple characteristics distinct from other infectious diseases, including a high infectivity during incubation, time delay between real dynamics and daily observed case numbers, and the effects from multiple quarantine and control measures. We develop a model SUQC to adequately characterizes the dynamics of COVID-19 and explicitly model the control by artificial measures, which is more suitable for analysis than other existing epidemic models.

    *注，本文为预印本论文手稿，是未经同行评审的初步报告，其观点仅供科研同行交流，并不是结论性内容，请使用者谨慎使用.

  • 原文来源：https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.27.20028639v1
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