Estimation of the reproductive number of Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) and the probable outbreak size on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: A data-driven analysis
ShengZhang,MengYuanDiaob1,WenboYu,LeiPeicZhaofenLin,DechangChen
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.02.033
Abstract
Backgrounds
Up to February 16, 2020, 355 cases have been confirmed as having COVID-19 infection on the Diamond Princess cruise ship. It is of crucial importance to estimate the reproductive number (R0) of the novel virus in the early stage of outbreak and make a prediction of daily new cases on the ship.