Strongly heterogeneous transmission of COVID-19 in mainland China: local and regional variation
Yuke Wang, Peter F.M. Teunis
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.10.20033852
Abstract
Background The outbreak of novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) started in the city of Wuhan, China, with a period of rapid initial spread. Transmission on a regional and then national scale was promoted by intense travel during the holiday period of the Chinese New Year. We studied the variation in transmission of COVID-19, locally in Wuhan, as well as on a larger spatial scale, among different cities and even among provinces in mainland China. Methods In addition to reported numbers of new cases, we have been able to assemble detailed contact data for some of the initial clusters of COVID-19.
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