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《SSRN，2月4日，The Epidemic Dynamics of 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Infections in China by 28 January》

  • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者： zhangmin
  • 发布时间：2020-02-06

  • The Epidemic Dynamics of 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Infections in China by 28 January

    11 Pages Posted: 4 Feb 2020

    Yuan Gao

    Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention - State Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control

    Qiyong Liu

    Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention - State Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control

    Abstract

    Objective: To explore the epidemic dynamics of the pneumonia caused by 2019-nCoV in China.

    Methods: A descriptive analysis was utilized to explore the epidemiological characteristics. A spatial mapping description was conducted to explore the geographic characteristics.

    Findings: China has reported 5981 confirmed cases of 2019-nCoV infections, including 132 fatal cases until 28 January. The fatality rate was 2.21%. And there were still 9239 probable cases. From 23 January, the growth rate has been increased with a peak on 27 January. Of the neighboring provinces of Hubei, Chongqing reported the most cases until 24 January. Henan reported the most cases from 25 January to 27 January. Hunan reported the most cases on 28 January. Of the other provinces, Guangdong and Zhejiang had more confirmed cases with a higher growth rate.

    Interpretation: The epidemic is in the stage of mass morbidity and rigorous screening for probable cases. Although the number of the cases have still increased in China, a series of prevention and control measures have been taken throughout China.

    *注，本文为预印本论文手稿，是未经同行评审的初步报告，其观点仅供科研同行交流，并不是结论性内容，请使用者谨慎使用.

  • 原文来源：https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3529448
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