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《J Public Health，3月27日，Negligible risk of the COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in China (outside Hubei): a statistical probability study》

  • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者： zhangmin
  • 发布时间：2020-03-29

  • Negligible risk of the COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in China (outside Hubei): a statistical probability study

    Kedong Zhao, Cheng Long, Yan Wang, Tieyong Zeng, Xinmiao Fu Author Notes

    Journal of Public Health, fdaa046, https://doi.org/10.1093/pubmed/fdaa046

    Published: 27 March 2020

    Abstract

    The COVID-19 outbreak in China appears to reach the late stage since late March 2020, and a stepwise restoration of economic operations is implemented. Risk assessment for such economic restoration is of significance. Here, we estimated the probability of COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in typical provinces/cities and found that such probability is very limited (<5% for all the regions except Beijing). Our work may inform provincial governments to make risk level-based, differentiated control measures.

  • 原文来源：https://academic.oup.com/jpubhealth/advance-article/doi/10.1093/pubmed/fdaa046/5812712?searchresult=1
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    • 编译者：zhangmin
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    • 编译者：zhangmin
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