《MedRixv,2月5号,Human-to-human transmission of 2019-novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)》

  • 来源专题:COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者: xuwenwhlib
  • 发布时间:2020-02-06
  • Human-to-human transmission of 2019-novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Min Kang, Jie Wu, Wenjun Ma, Jianfeng He, Jing Lu, Tao Liu, Baisheng Li, Shujiang Mei, Feng Ruan, Lifeng Lin, Lirong Zou, Changwen Ke, Haojie Zhong, Yingtao Zhang, Xuguang Chen, Zhe Liu, Qi Zhu, Jianpeng Xiao, Jianxiang Yu, Jianxiong Hu, Weilin Zeng, Xing Li, Yuhuang Liao, Xiujuan Tang, Songjian Xiao, Ying Wang, Yingchao Song, Xue Zhuang, Lijun Liang, Siqing Zeng, Guanhao He, Peng Lin, Tie Song

    doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.03.20019141

    Abstract

    Background: On December 31, 2019, an outbreak of 2019-nCoV in humans was reported in Wuhan, China. We analyzed data from field investigations and genetic sequencing to provide evidence of human-to-human transmission. Methods: A confirmed case of 2019-nCoV was defined if a suspected case was verified with positive of 2019-nCoV in throat swabs, nasal swabs, bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF), or endotracheal aspirates by real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction assay (RT-PCR) or genetic sequencing. Field investigations were conducted for each confirmed case. Clinical and demographic data of the confirmed cases were collected from their medical records. Exposure and travel histories were obtained by interviewing the confirmed cases. Results: Seventeen confirmed cases were identified from January 1 to 21, 2020 in Guangdong Province, China. Of them, two cases (11.8%) arisen locally without travel history to Wuhan or exposure history to wildlife market within 14 days prior to the onset of illness. These two cases were from two family cluster infections including 4 and 2 index cases, respectively. The whole viral genome from the two cases was exactly the same with their index cases, and presented a few unique single nucleotide variants (SNVs) which were predicted to cause one amino acid change in spike protein and Orf8 protein, respectively. Conclusions: This study identified two human-to-human transmitted cases of 2019-nCoV in Guangdong Province, China, which indicates that prevention strategies of cutting the person-to-person transmission of 2019-nCoV in households, hospitals and communities are urgently implemented.

    *注,本文为预印本论文手稿,是未经同行评审的初步报告,其观点仅供科研同行交流,并不是结论性内容,请使用者谨慎使用.

  • 原文来源:https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.03.20019141v1
相关报告
  • 《EuroSurveill,1月30日,Pattern of Early Human-To-Human Transmission of Wuhan 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020》

    • 来源专题:COVID-19科研动态监测
    • 编译者:zhangmin
    • 发布时间:2020-02-06
    • Pattern of Early Human-To-Human Transmission of Wuhan 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020 Julien Riou, Christian L Althaus PMID: 32019669 DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058 Abstract Since December 2019, China has been experiencing a large outbreak of a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) which can cause respiratory disease and severe pneumonia. We estimated the basic reproduction number R0 of 2019-nCoV to be around 2.2 (90% high density interval: 1.4-3.8), indicating the potential for sustained human-to-human transmission. Transmission characteristics appear to be of similar magnitude to severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and pandemic influenza, indicating a risk of global spread.
  • 《MedRixv,2月11日,The Novel Coronavirus, 2019-nCoV, is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated》

    • 来源专题:COVID-19科研动态监测
    • 编译者:xuwenwhlib
    • 发布时间:2020-02-12
    • The Novel Coronavirus, 2019-nCoV, is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated Steven Sanche, Yen Ting Lin, Chonggang Xu, Ethan Romero-Severson, Nick Hengartner, Ruian Ke doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.07.20021154 Abstract The novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) is a recently emerged human pathogen that has spread widely since January 2020. Initially, the basic reproductive number, R0, was estimated to be 2.2 to 2.7. Here we provide a new estimate of this quantity. We collected extensive individual case reports and estimated key epidemiology parameters, including the incubation period. Integrating these estimates and high-resolution real-time human travel and infection data with mathematical models, we estimated that the number of infected individuals during early epidemic double every 2.4 days, and the R0 value is likely to be between 4.7 and 6.6. We further show that quarantine and contact tracing of symptomatic individuals alone may not be effective and early, strong control measures are needed to stop transmission of the virus. *注,本文为预印本论文手稿,是未经同行评审的初步报告,其观点仅供科研同行交流,并不是结论性内容,请使用者谨慎使用.