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《MedRixv，2月25日，Applying chemical reaction transition theory to predict the latent transmission dynamics of coronavirus outbreak in China》

  • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者： zhangmin
  • 发布时间：2020-02-26

  • Applying chemical reaction transition theory to predict the latent transmission dynamics of coronavirus outbreak in China

    Peng Xu

    doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.22.20026815

    Abstract

    The recent outbreak of the Covid-19 suggests a rather long latent phase that precludes public health officials to predict the pandemic transmission on time. Here we apply mass action laws and chemical transition theory to propose a kinetic model that accounts for viral transmission dynamics at the latent phase. This model is useful for authorities to make early preventions and control measurements that stop the spread of a deadly new virus.

    *注，本文为预印本论文手稿，是未经同行评审的初步报告，其观点仅供科研同行交流，并不是结论性内容，请使用者谨慎使用.

  • 原文来源：https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.22.20026815v1
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