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《LANCET，4月3日，Impact of school closures for COVID-19 on the US health-care workforce and net mortality: a modelling study》

  • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者： xuwenwhlib
  • 发布时间：2020-04-04

  • Impact of school closures for COVID-19 on the US health-care workforce and net mortality: a modelling study

    Jude Bayham, PhD ，Prof Eli P Fenichel, PhD

    Open AccessPublished:April 03, 2020DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30082-7

    Background

    The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is leading to social (physical) distancing policies worldwide, including in the USA. Some of the first actions taken by governments are the closing of schools. The evidence that mandatory school closures reduce the number of cases and, ultimately, mortality comes from experience with influenza or from models that do not include the effect of school closure on the health-care labour force. The potential benefits from school closures need to be weighed against costs of health-care worker absenteeism associated with additional child-care obligations. In this study, we aimed to measure child-care obligations for US health-care workers arising from school closures when these are used as a social distancing measure. We then assessed how important the contribution of health-care workers would have to be in reducing mortality for their absenteeism due to child-care obligations to undo the benefits of school closures in reducing the number of cases.

  • 原文来源：https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpub/article/PIIS2468-2667(20)30082-7/fulltext
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相关报告

  • 《MedRxiv，3月13日，The Impact of School Closure for COVID-19 on the US Healthcare Workforce and the Net Mortality Effects》
    • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
    • 编译者：zhangmin
    • 发布时间：2020-03-14
    • The Impact of School Closure for COVID-19 on the US Healthcare Workforce and the Net Mortality Effects Jude Bayham, Eli P Fenichel doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.09.20033415 Abstract Background COVID-19 is leading to the implementation of social distancing policies around the world and in the United States, including school closures. The evidence that mandatory school closures reduce cases and ultimately mortality mostly comes from experience with influenza or from models that do not include the impact of school closure on the healthcare labor supply or the role of the healthcare labor force in reducing the per infection mortality from the pathogen. There is considerable uncertainty of the incremental effect of school closures on transmission and lives saved from school closures. *注，本文为预印本论文手稿，是未经同行评审的初步报告，其观点仅供科研同行交流，并不是结论性内容，请使用者谨慎使用.
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  • 《LANCET，4月7日，COVID-19, school closures, and child poverty: a social crisis in the making》
    • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
    • 编译者：xuwenwhlib
    • 发布时间：2020-04-08
    • COVID-19, school closures, and child poverty: a social crisis in the making Wim Van Lancker Zachary Parolin Open AccessPublished:April 07, 2020DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30084-0 While coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) continues to spread across the globe, many countries have decided to close schools as part of a physical distancing policy to slow transmission and ease the burden on health systems. The UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization estimates that 138 countries have closed schools nationwide, and several other countries have implemented regional or local closures. These school closures are affecting the education of 80% of children worldwide. Although scientific debate is ongoing with regard to the effectiveness of school closures on virus transmission,1 the fact that schools are closed for a long period of time could have detrimental social and health consequences for children living in poverty, and are likely to exacerbate existing inequalities. We discuss two mechanisms through which school closures will affect poor children in the USA and Europe.
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