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《MedRxiv，3月13日，The Impact of School Closure for COVID-19 on the US Healthcare Workforce and the Net Mortality Effects》

  • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者： zhangmin
  • 发布时间：2020-03-14

  • The Impact of School Closure for COVID-19 on the US Healthcare Workforce and the Net Mortality Effects

    Jude Bayham, Eli P Fenichel

    doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.09.20033415

    Abstract

    Background COVID-19 is leading to the implementation of social distancing policies around the world and in the United States, including school closures. The evidence that mandatory school closures reduce cases and ultimately mortality mostly comes from experience with influenza or from models that do not include the impact of school closure on the healthcare labor supply or the role of the healthcare labor force in reducing the per infection mortality from the pathogen. There is considerable uncertainty of the incremental effect of school closures on transmission and lives saved from school closures.

    *注，本文为预印本论文手稿，是未经同行评审的初步报告，其观点仅供科研同行交流，并不是结论性内容，请使用者谨慎使用.

  • 原文来源：https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.09.20033415v1
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  • 《LANCET，4月3日，Impact of school closures for COVID-19 on the US health-care workforce and net mortality: a modelling study》
    • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
    • 编译者：xuwenwhlib
    • 发布时间：2020-04-04
    • Impact of school closures for COVID-19 on the US health-care workforce and net mortality: a modelling study Jude Bayham, PhD ，Prof Eli P Fenichel, PhD Open AccessPublished:April 03, 2020DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30082-7 Background The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is leading to social (physical) distancing policies worldwide, including in the USA. Some of the first actions taken by governments are the closing of schools. The evidence that mandatory school closures reduce the number of cases and, ultimately, mortality comes from experience with influenza or from models that do not include the effect of school closure on the health-care labour force. The potential benefits from school closures need to be weighed against costs of health-care worker absenteeism associated with additional child-care obligations. In this study, we aimed to measure child-care obligations for US health-care workers arising from school closures when these are used as a social distancing measure. We then assessed how important the contribution of health-care workers would have to be in reducing mortality for their absenteeism due to child-care obligations to undo the benefits of school closures in reducing the number of cases.
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  • 《3月13日_COVID-19疫情期间美国学校关闭对美国医疗工作者的影响》
    • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
    • 编译者：zhangmin
    • 发布时间：2020-03-14
    • 1.时间：2020年3月13日 2.机构或团队：科罗拉多州立大学、耶鲁大学 3.事件概要： 科罗拉多州立大学等于2020年3月13日在medRxiv上发表题为“The Impact of School Closure for COVID-19 on the US Healthcare Workforce and the Net Mortality Effects”的文章。 文章指出，研究人员分析了美国当前人口调查的数据，以衡量如果把学校关闭作为一种社会疏离措施，那么美国医疗工作者承担的照顾儿童的责任需要得到解决；研究人员考虑了医疗保健部门、州和家庭结构中的职业，以确定卫生保健劳动力中最容易因学校关闭而承担照顾儿童责任的人员；使用这些估计来确定医疗劳动力供应在增加COVID-19患者生存率方面的重要性。文章得出结果：美国的医疗保健部门承担着美国最多的儿童保健责任，29%的医疗服务提供者家庭必须为3-12岁的儿童提供医疗服务。假设无工作的成年人或13岁及以上的兄弟姐妹能够提供看护儿童，那么在学校停课期间，还有15%的医疗服务提供者家庭需要照顾孩子，其中7%是单亲家庭。该文章提供了详细的数据，以帮助公共卫生官员权衡是否关闭学校做出明智的决定。 4.附件： 原文链接 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.09.20033415v1
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