The Impact of School Closure for COVID-19 on the US Healthcare Workforce and the Net Mortality Effects
Jude Bayham, Eli P Fenichel
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.09.20033415
Abstract
Background COVID-19 is leading to the implementation of social distancing policies around the world and in the United States, including school closures. The evidence that mandatory school closures reduce cases and ultimately mortality mostly comes from experience with influenza or from models that do not include the impact of school closure on the healthcare labor supply or the role of the healthcare labor force in reducing the per infection mortality from the pathogen. There is considerable uncertainty of the incremental effect of school closures on transmission and lives saved from school closures.
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