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《Science，5月8日，Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 transmission suggests epidemic control with digital contact tracing》

  • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者： zhangmin
  • 发布时间：2020-05-09

  • Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 transmission suggests epidemic control with digital contact tracing

    Luca Ferretti1,*, Chris Wymant1,*, Michelle Kendall1, Lele Zhao1, Anel Nurtay1, Lucie Abeler-Dörner1, Michael Parker2, David Bonsall1,3,†, Christophe Fraser1,4,†,‡

    See all authors and affiliations

    Science 08 May 2020:

    Vol. 368, Issue 6491, eabb6936

    DOI: 10.1126/science.abb6936

    Structured Abstract

    INTRODUCTION

    Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome–coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has clear potential for a long-lasting global pandemic, high fatality rates, and incapacitated health systems. Until vaccines are widely available, the only available infection prevention approaches are case isolation, contact tracing and quarantine, physical distancing, decontamination, and hygiene measures. To implement the right measures at the right time, it is of crucial importance to understand the routes and timings of transmission.

    RATIONALE

    We used key parameters of epidemic spread to estimate the contribution of different transmission routes with a renewal equation formulation, and analytically determined the speed and scale for effective identification and contact tracing required to stop the epidemic.

  • 原文来源：https://science.sciencemag.org/content/368/6491/eabb6936
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    • 编译者：zhangmin
    • 发布时间：2021-02-05
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