Evaluation of the incidence of COVID-19 and of the efficacy of contention measures in Spain: a data-driven approach.
Alberto Aleta, Yamir Moreno
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.01.20029801
Abstract
Our society is currently experiencing an unprecedented challenge, managing and containing an outbreak of a new coronavirus disease known as COVID-19. While China - were the outbreak started - seems to have been able to contain the growth of the epidemic, different outbreaks are nowadays being detected in multiple countries. Much is currently unknown about the natural history of the disease, such as a possible asymptomatic spreading or the role of age in both the susceptibility and mortality of the disease. Nonetheless, authorities have to take action and implement contention measures, even if not everything is known.
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