From China: hope and lessons for COVID-19 control
Andrew S Azman
Francisco J Luquero
Published:April 02, 2020DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30264-4
Juanjuan Zhang and colleagues use detailed, publicly available data to explore key epidemiological features of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in China. Outside the original epicentre of Hubei province, they found that the effective reproduction number dropped below the critical threshold of by the end of January, 2020, for nine heavily affected Chinese provinces or cities. This finding suggests significant slowing of local transmission. Importantly, these reductions were achieved in a matter of weeks from the first signs of local transmission in most provinces.