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《MedRxiv，3月23日，Assessing the potential impacts of COVID-19 in Brasil: Mobility, Morbidity and Impact to the Health System》

  • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者： zhangmin
  • 发布时间：2020-03-24

  • Assessing the potential impacts of COVID-19 in Brasil: Mobility, Morbidity and Impact to the Health System

    Flavio Codeco Coelho, Raquel Martins Lana, Oswaldo G Cruz, Claudia T Codeco, Daniel Villela, Leonardo S Bastos, Ana Pastory y Piontti, Jessica T Davis, Alessandro Vespignani, Marcelo F.C. Gomes

    doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.19.20039131

    Abstract

    The two largest Brazilian cities, Rio de Janeiro and Sao Paulo, have declared community transmission of COVID-19 on mid March, 2020. In this study we estimated the most vulnerable areas in Brazil for COVID-19, both in terms of risk of introduction and risk of mortality associated with social vulnerability. We explore the most likely routes of spread through the country, from the already exposed cities, according to human mobility statistics. The resulting maps should help authorities in their efforts to prioritize actions and if resource allocation to mitigate the effects of the pandemic.

    *注，本文为预印本论文手稿，是未经同行评审的初步报告，其观点仅供科研同行交流，并不是结论性内容，请使用者谨慎使用.

  • 原文来源：https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.19.20039131v1
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