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《MedRixv，3月1日，Transmission characteristics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China: a study driven by data》

  • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者： zhangmin
  • 发布时间：2020-03-02

  • Transmission characteristics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China: a study driven by data

    Meili Li, Pian Chen, Qianqian Yuan, Baojun Song, Junling Ma

    doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.26.20028431

    Abstract

    The COVID-19 outbreak has been a serious public health threat worldwide. We use individually documented case descriptions of COVID-19 from China (excluding Hubei Province) to estimate the distributions of the generation time, incubation period, and periods from symptom onset to isolation and to diagnosis. The recommended 14-day quarantine period may lead to a 6.7% failure for quarantine. We recommend a 22-day quarantine period. The mean generation time is 3.3 days and the mean incubation period is 7.2 days.

    *注，本文为预印本论文手稿，是未经同行评审的初步报告，其观点仅供科研同行交流，并不是结论性内容，请使用者谨慎使用.

  • 原文来源：https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.26.20028431v1
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