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《MedRxiv，2月17日，Risk for Transportation of 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) from Wuhan to Cities in China》

  • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者： dingxq
  • 发布时间：2020-02-18

  • Risk for Transportation of 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) from Wuhan to Cities in China

    Zhanwei Du, Ling Wang, Simon Cauchemez, Xiaoke Xu, Xianwen Wang, Benjamin J Cowling, Lauren Ancel Meyers

    doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.01.28.20019299

    Abstract

    On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain an emerging coronavirus (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 cities in China before the quarantine. The expected risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas of China.

    *注，本文为预印本论文手稿，是未经同行评审的初步报告，其观点仅供科研同行交流，并不是结论性内容，请使用者谨慎使用.

  • 原文来源：https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.28.20019299v4
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