Estimation of incubation period distribution of COVID-19 using disease onset forward time: a novel cross-sectional and forward follow-up study
Qin Jing, Chong You, Qiushi Lin, Taojun Hu, Shicheng Yu, Xiao-Hua Zhou
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.06.20032417
Abstract
Background: The current outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has quickly spread across countries and become a global crisis. However, one of the most important clinical characteristics in epidemiology, the distribution of the incubation period, remains unclear. Different estimates of the incubation period of COVID-19 were reported in recent published studies, but all have their own limitations. In this study, we propose a novel low-cost and accurate method to estimate the incubation distribution.
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