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《MedRixv，3月3日，（第2版更新）TForecasting the Cumulative Number of COVID-19 Deaths in China: Can More Lives Be Saved?》

  • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者： zhangmin
  • 发布时间：2020-03-04

  • Forecasting the Cumulative Number of COVID-19 Deaths in China: Can More Lives Be Saved?

    Zuqin Zhang, Cheng Long, Wei Yao, Qi Ying, Xinmiao Fu

    doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.02.20030064

    Abstract

    Background: An outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) caused by SARS-CoV-2 is on-going in China and appears to approach late phase. It is highly demanding to estimate how many COVID-19 patients will die eventually. In this study, an estimate of the potential total number of COVID-19 deaths in mainland China, Hubei Province, Wuhan City, and other provinces is provided. The results may help to eluate the severity of the epidemic and facilitate mental health care.

    *注，本文为预印本论文手稿，是未经同行评审的初步报告，其观点仅供科研同行交流，并不是结论性内容，请使用者谨慎使用.

  • 原文来源：https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.02.20030064v2
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