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《MedRxiv，3月8日，Role of temperature and humidity in the modulation of the doubling time of COVID-19 cases》

  • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者： zhangmin
  • 发布时间：2020-03-09

  • Role of temperature and humidity in the modulation of the doubling time of COVID-19 cases

    Barbara Oliveiros, Liliana Caramelo, Nuno C Ferreira, Francisco Caramelo

    doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.05.20031872

    Abstract

    COVID-19 is having a great impact on public health, mortality and economy worldwide, in spite of the efforts to prevent its epidemy. The SARS-CoV-2 genome is different from that of MERS-CoV and SARS-CoV, although also expected to spread differently according to meteorological conditions. Our main goal is to investigate the role of some meteorological variables on the expansion of this outbreak. In this study, an exponential model relating the number of accumulated confirmed cases and time was considered. The rate of COVID-19 spread, using as criterion the doubling time of the number of confirmed cases, was used as dependent variable in a linear model that took four independent meteorological variables: temperature, humidity, precipitation and wind speed.

    *注，本文为预印本论文手稿，是未经同行评审的初步报告，其观点仅供科研同行交流，并不是结论性内容，请使用者谨慎使用.

  • 原文来源：https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.05.20031872v1
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    • 编译者：zhangmin
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    • 编译者：zhangmin
    • 发布时间：2020-03-19
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