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《MedRxiv，3月16日，Impact of self-imposed prevention measures and short-term government intervention on mitigating and delaying a COVID-19 epidemic》

  • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者： zhangmin
  • 发布时间：2020-03-17

  • Impact of self-imposed prevention measures and short-term government intervention on mitigating and delaying a COVID-19 epidemic

    Alexandra Teslya, Thi Mui Pham, Noortje E. Godijk, Mirjam E. Kretzschmar, Martin C.J. Bootsma, Ganna Rozhnova

    doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.12.20034827

    Abstract

    Background: With new cases of COVID-19 surging around the world, some countries may have to prepare for moving beyond the containment phase. Prediction of the effectiveness of non-case-based interventions for mitigating, delaying or preventing the epidemic is urgent, especially for countries affected by the increased seasonal influenza activity. Methods: We developed a transmission model to evaluate the impact of self-imposed prevention measures (handwashing, mask-wearing, and social distancing) due to COVID-19 awareness and of short-term government-imposed social distancing on the peak number of diagnoses, attack rate and time until the peak number of diagnoses.

    *注，本文为预印本论文手稿，是未经同行评审的初步报告，其观点仅供科研同行交流，并不是结论性内容，请使用者谨慎使用.

  • 原文来源：https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.12.20034827v1
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