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《MedRxiv，3月10日，Ascertainment rate of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Japan》

  • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者： zhangmin
  • 发布时间：2020-03-11

  • Ascertainment rate of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Japan

    Ryosuke Omori, Kenji Mizumoto, Hiroshi Nishiura

    doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.09.20033183

    Abstract

    We analyzed the epidemiological dataset of confirmed cases with COVID-19 in Japan as of 28 February 2020 and estimated the number of severe and non-severe cases, accounting for under-ascertainment. The ascertainment rate of non-severe cases was estimated at 0.44 (95% confidence interval: 0.37, 0.50), indicating that unbiased number of non-cases would be more than twice the reported count. Severe cases are twice more likely diagnosed and reported than other cases.

    *注，本文为预印本论文手稿，是未经同行评审的初步报告，其观点仅供科研同行交流，并不是结论性内容，请使用者谨慎使用.

  • 原文来源：https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.09.20033183v1
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