Indications for healthcare surge capacity in European countries facing an exponential increase in COVID19 cases
Frederik Verelst, Elise J. Kuylen, Philippe Beutels
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.14.20035980
Abstract
European healthcare systems face rapidly increasing pressure from COVID-19. We calculated pressures on EU healthcare systems by relating both country-specific accumulated COVID-19 deaths (intensity-approach) and active COVID-19 cases (magnitude-approach) to various estimates of hospital beds. On March 14 2020 - relative to Italy on March 11- we found Spain, Luxembourg, Switzerland and France to experience the highest pressure using the intensity-approach, versus Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Spain, Switzerland and Slovenia using the magnitude approach.
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