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《MedRixv，2月25日，Intrinsic growth rules of patients infected, dead and cured with 2019 novel coronavirus in mainland China》

  • 来源专题：COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者： zhangmin
  • 发布时间：2020-02-26

  • Intrinsic growth rules of patients infected, dead and cured with 2019 novel coronavirus in mainland China

    Chuanliang Han, Yimeng Liu, Saini Yang

    doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.23.20024802

    Abstract

    Background An outbreak of a novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2)-infected pneumonia (COVID-19) was first occurred in Wuhan, China, in December 2019 and then spread rapidly to other regions. It has been declared that at least one confirmed case infected by SARS-CoV-2 was found in each province of China by late January 2020. Methods We collected the time series data of the cumulative number of confirmed infected, dead, and cured cases from the health commissions in 31 provinces in mainland China. A simple descriptive model in a logistic form was formulated to infer the intrinsic epidemic rules of COVID-19.

    *注，本文为预印本论文手稿，是未经同行评审的初步报告，其观点仅供科研同行交流，并不是结论性内容，请使用者谨慎使用.

  • 原文来源：https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.23.20024802v1
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