《Nature,3月25日,Covert coronavirus, chaos prize and the cost of contact-tracing》

  • 来源专题:COVID-19科研动态监测
  • 编译者: zhangmin
  • 发布时间:2020-03-26
  • Covert cases of coronavirus could be seeding new outbreaks

    As coronavirus outbreaks surge worldwide, research teams are racing to understand what proportion of infected people have mild or no symptoms and might be spreading the virus.

    A team of researchers in China and the United States developed a model using clinical data from 26,000 laboratory-confirmed cases reported to the health commission of Wuhan, the epicentre of the outbreak.

  • 原文来源:https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00829-4
相关报告
  • 《3月25日_Nature发文称未被发现的COVID-19病例可能会引发新的疫情》

    • 来源专题:COVID-19科研动态监测
    • 编译者:xuwenwhlib
    • 发布时间:2020-03-26
    • 信息名称:Nature发文称未被发现的COVID-19病例可能会引发新的疫情 1.时间:2020年3月25日 2.机构或团队:Nature 3.事件概要: Nature网站发表文章“Covert coronavirus, chaos prize and the cost of contact-tracing”,称未被发现的新型冠状病毒感染病例可能会引发新的疫情。 文章指出,随着世界范围内冠状病毒感染病例激增,研究团队正在研究一个至关重要的流行病学难题,有多少比例的受感染者有轻度或无症状,并可能将病毒传染给其他人。对这些隐性病例的一些初步估计表明,它们可能占所有感染的约60%。为了评估隐性感染的程度,中美两国的研究人员利用来自武汉市卫生健康委员会的26,000例实验室确诊病例的临床数据开发了一种模型。该团队于3月6日在线发布的预印本中表示,到2月18日,武汉地区共有37,400人感染了这种病毒。作者表示,大多数未报告的病例是那些症状轻微或没有症状但仍可能具有传染性的人。武汉市华中科技大学公共卫生专家吴唐春表示,这也许可以解释为什么这种病毒在湖北如此迅速地传播并在世界范围内传播。 4.附件: 原文链接: https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00829-4
  • 《Nature,3月25日,Coronavirus latest: The outbreak in Italy went undetected for weeks》

    • 来源专题:COVID-19科研动态监测
    • 编译者:zhangmin
    • 发布时间:2020-03-25
    • Coronavirus latest: The outbreak in Italy went undetected for weeks Updates on the respiratory illness that has infected hundreds of thousands of people and killed several thousand. 25 March 1:00 GMT — The outbreak in Italy went undetected for weeks The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 was in Northern Italy as early as 1 January. An epidemiological analysis of Lombardy, the epicentre of the outbreak in Italy, reveals that the first onset of symptoms in the country occurred weeks before the disease was reported there on 20 February. The study looks at nearly 6,000 laboratory-confirmed cases to track how the outbreak unfolded in the region. It was posted to the arXiv preprint server on 20 March.