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期刊名称: British Journal of Political Science
Volume:46    Issue:1        Page:11-29
ISSN:0007-1234

Juking the Stats? Authoritarian Information Problems in China期刊论文

作者: Wallace Jeremy L
DOI:10.1017/S0007123414000106

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页码: 11-29
被引频次: 40
出版者: CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS,Cambridge University Press
期刊名称: British Journal of Political Science
ISSN: 0007-1234
卷期: Volume:46    Issue:1
语言: English
摘要: Economic statistics inform citizens of general conditions, while central leaders use them to evaluate local officials. Are economic data systematically manipulated? After establishing discrepancies in economic data series cross-nationally, this article examines Chinese sub-national growth data. It leverages variation in the likelihood of manipulation over two dimensions, arguing that politically sensitive data are more likely to be manipulated at politically sensitive times. Gross domestic product (GDP) releases generate headlines, while highly correlated electricity production and consumption data are relatively unnoticed. In Chinese provinces, the difference between GDP and electricity growth increases in years with leadership turnover, which is consistent with juking the stats for political reasons. The analysis points to the political role of information and the limits of non-electoral accountability mechanisms in authoritarian regimes.
相关主题: PARTY, GDP STATISTICS, SUPPORT, DEMOCRACY, REGIME, POLITICAL SCIENCE, GROWTH, POLITICAL BUSINESS-CYCLE, Economic policy, Forecasts and trends, Economic conditions, Gross domestic product, Analysis, Authoritarianism, Consumption, Leadership, Citizens, Statistics, Economic statistics, Elections, Studies, Electricity, Manipulation, Accountability, Production, Authoritarianism (Political ideology), Politics,

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